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Week 10 Results

 

Volume VIII-Week 10  Results

November 15, 2006

2006 Results

   Ά   

Week

Year to Date

%

Ben's Picks

+2Ά

1-4 24-24-2 50%
Ben's Power Rating (BPR)

3-4

38-33-1

54%

 

Over/Unders

2-2 19-20-1 49%
Teasers 4-1 44-10-1 82%
HD's v Opposite Turf 0-0 9-6 60%

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Ben's Picks

All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless otherwise specified.

  • WINNER - 5* Kansas City v MIAMI --- Chiefs B2B Road, Fish racking up stats and get the win.

 

  • Loser - 5* San Fran v DETROIT --- Niners won with only 130 yards LW and are 29th against the pass. Lions offense getting comfortable and Martz will have a few surprises for this old foe.

 

  • Loser - 4* Baltimore v TENNESSEE --- McNair exacts his revenge.

 

  • Loser - 4* Dallas v ARIZONA --- Boys B2B R and Cards off a Bye and Denny Green desperate.

 

  • Loser - 3*Tampa v CAROLINA --- Division match up, Panthers don’t cover big spreads.

 

 
Picks Results = 1-4 for -11*
 
The Over/Under's
  • Kansas City v MIAMI UNDER WINNER
  • San Diego v CINCY OVER WINNER
  • Washington v PHILLY OVER Loser
  • New York v NEW ENGLAND OVER Loser
 
O/U Results = 2-2
 
Teasers

  (Teasers MUST include key numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)

·        JAX –3 No Play

·        Baltimore –2.5 WINNER

·        Chicago +10 No Play

·        Green Bay +10 WINNER

·        DETROIT –2 Loser

·        Denver –3 WINNER

·        St. Louis +10 No Play

·        Tampa +14 WINNER

 
Teaser Total = 4-1
 
HD's v Opposite Turf Teams
  • CINCY if Dog No Play
 
Home Dog Results = 0-0
 

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Potential BPR Plays

    Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of 4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check individual game BPR's for any  line movements):

 

  • Kansas City +1 or greater
  • Cleveland +6.5 or greater
  • Washington +8.5 or greater
  • ARIZONA +4 or greater
  • JAX –8 or less
  • Buffalo +9.5 or greater
  • Chicago Pick or +
  • Tampa +10 or greater
  • CINCY +3 or greater
  • New Orleans +3 or greater
  • San Fran +8 or greater

 

 

 

NFL WEEK 10

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 12, 2006

Potential BPR Plays in Bold

EST

Line

BPR

Play If

Notes

409 Kansas City Chiefs

E: 1:00

1

-3

+1

QB Huard starts / Shuffled O-line

410 Miami Dolphins

40

 

+7

2-6 SU but out gaining opponenets

411 Houston Texans

E: 1:00

38

 

+16

3rd straight R game / HOU. 27 – Jax 7, Oct, 22

412 Jacksonville Jags

10.5

-12

-8

Revenge / 1-4 O/U v Hou / Many Inj’s D

413 San Diego Chargers

E: 1:00

1

 

+5

2 LB, 3 DE, S ?

414 Cincy Bengals

48

-1

+3

Team Bickering / 2 CB, 2 LB, OT ?

415 Cleveland Browns

E: 1:00

41

 

+6.5

B2B R / 4 O-line ? / QB sacked 29 times

416 Atlanta Falcons

7.5

-2.5

+1.5

Allowing passing Yards / RG, S OUT

417 Baltimore Ravens

E: 1:00

7

-7.5

-3.5

McNair Revenge

418 Tennessee Titans

38

 

+11.5

OL Loeper OUT / Young in trouble

419 Buffalo Bills

E: 1:00

45

 

+9.5

RB McGahee, WR Reed OUT / Bad on R

420 Indy Colts

12.5

-5.5

-1.5

Bounce DOWN / 2 LB, CB ?, DT OUT

421 New Orleans Saints

4:15

45

-1

+3

B2B R / aft Div W / WR Horn ?

422 Pittsburgh Steelers

4.5

 

+5

11 turnovers last 2 games / S, LB, C /

423 Wash. Redskins

E: 1:00

43

 

+8.5

Bounce DOWN / Secondary not playing well

424 Philly Eagles

7

-4.5

Pk

After BYE / 0-3 SU / Need to get back on track

425 Chicago Bears

8:15

39

-4

Pk

2 WR, LB Urlacher ? / Easy schedule so far

426 New York Giants

1

 

+8

WR Toomer OUT / Many inj’s on D

427 Green Bay Packers

E: 1:00

39

 

+8.5

B2B R / Favre hit or miss ? 0-3 O/U v Minny

428 Minny Vikings

5.5

-4.5

Pk

2 DE ? / 9-2 v Pack / No offense last 2 games

429 New York Jets

E: 1:00

39.5

 

+13.5

After Bye / Revenge / 1-7 v Pats

430 New England Pats

11

-9.5

-5.5

After H L / Pats 24 – JETS 17, Sept 17

431 San Fran Niners

E: 1:00

45

 

+8

Much better at home

432 Detroit Lions

6

-4

Pk

2 DL ? / Offense starting to play better

433 Denver Broncos

E: 4:00

9.5

-10.5

-6.5

DEN 13 – Oak 3, Oct 15 / CB, DE, LB, SS ?

434 Oakland Raiders

33

 

+14.5

Revenge / After Mon / Sacked 9 times Last Wk

435 St. Louis Rams

E: 4:15

44.5

 

+9

Revenge / Too many turnovers last week

436 Seattle Seahawks

3.5

-5

-1

Sea 30 – RAMS 28, Oct 15 / RB, QB OUT

437 Dallas Cowboys

E: 4:15

7

 

+4

3rd R game in a row / Tough loss last week

438 Arizona Cardinals

43.5

Pk

+4

After BYE / Denny on the way out?

 

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 13, 2006

439 Tampa Bay Bucs

E: 8:30

37

 

+10

Revenge / 2 WR ? / No Pass rush / 1-6 SU v Car

440 Carolina Panthers

9.5

-6

-2

After Bye / Car 26 – TAM 24, Sept 24 /

 
BPR Results
 Winners - Cleveland, Buffalo, Chicago
 Losers - Kansas City, New Orleans, ARIZONA, Tampa
No Plays - JAX, CINCY, Washington, San Fran
Total - 3-4

Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For Anyone Under 21 Years of Age

The Legend

ATS – Against Spread

aft - after

bfr - before

BPR - Ben’s Power Rating

B2B – Back To Back

BOUNCE – Opp. result

D – Dog

Def - defense

DDD – Double Digit Dog

DDF - Double Digit Favorite

DIV - Division

F – Favorite

L - Loss

SAND - Sandwich game

 

H – Home

HD – Home Dog

HF – Home Favorite

HOME TEAM – In Capitals

LW – Last Week

LY – Last Year

N-DIV - Non Division

O/U – Over /Under

OFF – Offense

R – Road

REV – Revenge

SU – Straight Up

V - Versus

W - Win