|
Week 9 Results
|
| Volume
IX-Week 9
|
November 8, 2007
|
|
2007 Results
|
¶
|
Week
|
Year to Date
|
%
|
| Ben's Picks |
-18¶
|
1-4 |
20-23-2 |
47% |
| Ben's
Power Rating (BPR) |
5-2
|
31-34-1 |
48%
|
| Teasers
|
2-3 |
27-19-2 |
59% |
|
Over/Unders
|
2-1-1 |
19-16-1 |
54% |
| HD's v
Opposite Turf |
2-1 |
12-12 |
50% |
|
|
Closing
Lines and Final Scores |
|
|
|
Ben's
Picks
All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless
otherwise specified.
|
- Loser
-5* Baltimore
v PITTSBURGH --- Ravens get McNair back after bye along with
several other starters. Steelers will be tough at home, but
Ravens beat them 2 times last year.
- Loser
- 4* Green Bay v KANSAS CITY --- The Pact travel back to back after a
Monday night miracle. The Chiefs are off a bye and playing
much better on defense, should slow down Favre.
- Loser
- 4* Carolina
v TENNESSEE --- Panthers a good road dog. Titans’ passing
game was nonexistent last week. Young playing hurt. Take the
points.
|
- WINNER
- 3* Cincy v BUFFALO
--- Bengals on a real downer after losing to Pitt. Bills on a roll and
J.P. Losman has something to prove.
|
- Loser
- 3* Dallas v PHILLY --- Boys on a roll, but haven’t beat a good
team yet. Eagles struggled early, but must win here to keep
hope alive.
|
|
|
Pick Results = 1-4
for -13* |
|
|
|
Teasers
(Teasers MUST include key
numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)
|
|
·
JETS +10
No Play
·
Arizona +10
No Play
·
Carolina +10
Loser
·
Jax +10
No Play
·
BUFFALO +7
WINNER
·
San Diego -2.5
Loser
·
INDY +10
WINNER
·
Baltimore +14
Loser
|
|
|
Teaser Results = 2-3 |
|
|
|
The Over/Under's
|
|
·
Washington
v JETS UNDER
Loser
·
Cincy v BUFFALO OVER
WINNER
·
Seattle
v
CLEVELAND
OVER
WINNER
·
Houston
v
OAKLAND
UNDER
Tie
|
|
|
O/U Results = 2-1-1 |
|
|
|
HD's v Opposite Turf
Teams
|
- JETS
WINNER
- MINNY
WINNER
-
CLEVELAND
if
Dog
No
Play
- PHILLY
Loser
|
|
|
Home Dog Results = 2-1 |
|
|
|
Closing
Lines and Final Scores |
|
|
|
Potential BPR Plays
Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power
Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of
4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are
the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check
individual game BPR's for any line movements):
|
- JETS +2 or greater
- San Fran +4 or greater
-
BUFFALO
-2.5 or less
-
OAKLAND
-1 or less
|
-
Green Bay
+2 or greater
-
Jax Pk
or +
- MINNY +3.5 or greater
- PHILLY +1.5 or greater
|
-
TAMPA
-1.5 or less
-
DETROIT
-6 or less
- INDY +1 or greater
-
PITTSBURGH
-7.5 or less
|
|
|
|
|
NFL WEEK 9
|
SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 4, 2007
|
|
Potential BPR Plays in Bold
|
EST
|
Line
|
BPR
|
Play
If
|
Notes
|
|
403
Wash.
Redskins
|
1:00
|
3.5
|
|
+6
|
B2B
R / Bounce UP / Beware the hook
|
|
404
New York
Jets
|
35
|
-2
|
+2
|
Playing
bad / Lemon QB / LB Vilma OUT
|
|
405
Green Bay
Packers
|
1:00
|
37
|
-2
|
+2
|
B2B
R after Mon W / Can’t run
|
|
406
Kansas City
Chiefs
|
2.5
|
|
+6
|
After
Bye / Defense playing tough /
|
|
407
Arizona
Cardinals
|
1:00
|
38
|
|
+9.5
|
After
Bye / Warner starts
|
|
408
Tampa
Bay
Bucs
|
3.5
|
-5.5
|
-1.5
|
RB’s
injured / Garcia can’t turn ball over
|
|
409
Carolina
Panthers
|
1:00
|
35.5
|
|
+9
|
QB
? / Good road team
|
|
410
Tennessee
Titans
|
4
|
-5
|
-1
|
Young
playing hurt / Only 30 yards passing LW
|
|
411
San Fran Niners
|
1:00
|
37
|
Pk
|
+4
|
Offense
going nowhere /
|
|
412
Atlanta
Falcons
|
3
|
|
+4
|
After
bye / QB ?
|
|
413
Jacksonville
Jags
|
1:00
|
40
|
-4.5
|
Pk
|
B2B2B
R /
|
|
414
New Orleans
Saints
|
3.5
|
|
+8.5
|
3-11
F / Playing better
|
|
415
Denver
Broncos
|
1:00
|
46
|
|
+14
|
After
Mon L / RB Henry ? / 1-6
|
|
416
Detroit
Lions
|
3
|
-10
|
-6
|
Bounce
DOWN /
|
|
417
Cincy Bengals
|
1:00
|
43
|
|
+10.5
|
RB
? / Overrated /
|
|
418
Buffalo
Bills
|
1
|
-6.5
|
-2.5
|
Losman
starts /
|
|
419
San Diego
Chargers
|
1:00
|
7
|
|
+4.5
|
Finally
putting it together / WR Chambers a +
|
|
420
Minny Vikings
|
41
|
-˝
|
+3.5
|
3RD
QB ? / Can’t pass ball / Def bad v pass
|
|
421
Seattle
Seahawks
|
4:00
|
47
|
|
+4.5
|
1-8
after Bye / WR Branch prob /
|
|
422
Cleveland
Browns
|
1
|
-˝
|
+3.5
|
QB
Anderson a revelation / Tough at home
|
|
423
New England
Pats
|
4:15
|
5.5
|
|
+7
|
REVENGE
/ hitting on all cylinders
|
|
424
Indy Colts
|
57
|
-3
|
+1
|
3-0
v Pats / WR Harrison ?, LB’s ?
|
|
425
Houston
Texans
|
4:15
|
41.5
|
|
+9
|
B2B
R, both west coast / QB Rosenfels / RB, WR /
|
|
426
Oakland
Raiders
|
3
|
-5
|
-1
|
QB
McNown starts /
|
|
427
Dallas
Cowboys
|
8:15
|
3
|
|
+6.5
|
After
Bye / WR Owens returns to Philly
|
|
428
Philly Eagles
|
46.5
|
-2.5
|
+1.5
|
Have
been inconsistent / Do or die game
|
BYE:
Chicago,
Miami
, Giants,
St.
Lou.
|
MONDAY, NOVEMBER 5, 2007
|
|
431
Baltimore
Ravens
|
8:30
|
36.5
|
|
+15.5
|
After
Bye / McNair starts / 2-0 v Pitt LY
|
|
432
Pittsburgh
Steelers
|
9
|
-11.5
|
-7.5
|
Revenge
/ Playing well
|
|
|
BPR Results
|
|
Winners - JETS,
DETROIT, BUFFALO, MINNY, INDY |
|
Losers - Jax,
PHILLY |
|
No Plays
- Green Bay, TAMPA,
San Fran, PITTSBURGH, OAKLAND |
|
BPR Results - 5-2 |
|
|
|
Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For
Anyone Under 21 Years of Age
|
|
The Legend
|
|
ATS
– Against Spread
aft
- after
bfr
- before
BPR
- Ben’s Power Rating
B2B
– Back To Back
BOUNCE
– Opp. result
D
– Dog
Def
- defense
DDD
– Double Digit Dog
DDF
- Double Digit Favorite
DIV - Division
F – Favorite
L
- Loss
SAND - Sandwich game
|
H – Home
HD – Home Dog
HF – Home Favorite
HOME TEAM – In Capitals
LW – Last Week
LY
– Last Year
N-DIV
- Non Division
O/U
– Over /Under
OFF
– Offense
R
– Road
REV
– Revenge
SU
– Straight Up
V
- Versus
W
- Win
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
