|
Week 4 Results
|
| Volume
VIII, Week 4 Results
|
October 3, 2006
|
|
2006 Results
|
¶
|
Week
|
Year to Date
|
%
|
| Ben's Picks |
+19¶
|
3-2 |
12-7-1 |
63% |
| Ben's
Power Rating (BPR) |
7-3
|
19-13-1 |
59%
|
|
Over/Unders
|
2-2 |
10-5-1 |
67% |
| Teasers |
5-0 |
18-5-1 |
78% |
| HD's v
Opposite Turf |
0-1 |
4-3 |
57% |
|
|
Closing
Lines and Final Scores |
|
|
|
Ben's
Picks
All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless
otherwise specified.
|
- Loser
- 5* Indy v JETS --- Jets gave up 475
yards to Buffalo, but got 3 TO’s. Indy won’t stall in the
red zone.
- Loser
- 5* New Orleans v CAROLINA --- Saints
let it all hang out on Mon Night, hungry Cats chew them up.
- WINNER
- 4* Arizona v ATLANTA --- Cards still
can’t protect QB. Vick makes Ariz shoddy run D cry Uncle.
- WINNER
- 4* San Diego v BALTIMORE --- QB Rivers
not ready for Ray-Ray and company on the road.
- WINNER
- 3* New England v CINCY --- Bengals have
several injuries and let down after Pitt. Pats bounce back
|
|
|
Picks Results = 3-2 |
|
|
|
The Over/Under's
|
|
·
Indy v JETS OVER
WINNER
·
New Orleans v
CAROLINA UNDER WINNER
·
Detroit v ST.
LOUIS UNDER Loser
·
Green Bay v PHILLY
OVER Loser
|
|
|
O/U Results = 2-2 |
|
|
|
Teasers
(Teasers MUST include key
numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)
|
· Indy –3 WINNER
·
BALTIMORE
+7 No Play
·
BUFFALO
+7 No Play
·
KANSAS
CITY –2.5 WINNER
·
CAROLINA
–2.5 WINNER
·
ATLANTA
–2.5 WINNER
·
New
England +10 WINNER
·
WASHINGTON
+10 No Play
|
|
|
Teaser Total = 5-0 |
|
|
|
HD's v Opposite Turf
Teams
|
- BUFFALO
if dog No Play
- TENNESSEE
Loser
|
|
Home Dog Results = 0-1 |
|
|
|
Closing
Lines and Final Scores |
|
|
|
Potential BPR Plays
Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power
Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of
4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are
the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check
individual game BPR's for any line movements):
|
|
BPR Results
|
|
Winners - JETS,
New Orleans, HOUSTON,
ST. LOUIS, WASH, Cleveland, CHICAGO
|
|
Losers - San
Fran, Cincy, Green Bay |
|
No Plays -
BUFFALO, TENN, Arizona |
|
Total
- 7-3 |
NFL WEEK 4
|
SUNDAY, OCTOBER 1, 2006
|
|
Potential BPR Plays in Bold
|
EST
|
Line
|
BPR
|
Play
If
|
Notes
|
|
401
Indy Colts
|
E:
1:00
|
9
|
pk
|
+4
|
Jets
gave up 475 yds LW, Colts get 600 ?
|
402 New York Jets
|
46
|
|
+4
|
Bad
v run / Can’t throw downfield
|
|
403
San Diego Chargers
|
E:
1:00
|
2.5
|
-1
|
+3
|
Aft
Bye / Rivers on R / D inj’s
|
404
Baltimore Ravens
|
33.5
|
|
+5
|
Tough
at H
|
|
405
Minny Vikings
|
E:
1:00
|
34.5
|
|
+7
|
Not
scoring / D tough
|
406 Buffalo Bills
|
1
|
-3
|
+1
|
Young
can’t finish
|
|
407
Dallas Cowboys
|
E:
1:00
|
9.5
|
-6
|
-2
|
Jerry
Jones signs Dr Kavorkian
|
408 Tennessee Titans
|
37
|
|
+10
|
O-Line
banged up / D sucks
|
409 San Fran Niners
|
E:
1:00
|
40.5
|
-3
|
+1
|
Still
taking lumps
|
|
410
Kansas City Chiefs
|
7
|
|
+7
|
Aft
Bye / Will be conservative/ No Green
|
411 New Orleans Saints
|
E:
1:00
|
42
|
|
+7
|
Bounce
DOWN aft Mon
|
|
412
Carolina Panthers
|
7
|
-3
|
+1
|
Need
W, will be ready
|
413 Arizona Cardinals
|
E:
1:00
|
41.5
|
|
+8.5
|
Bad
v Run / O-Line sucks
|
|
414
Atlanta Falcons
|
7
|
-4.5
|
pk
|
Can’t
play from behind
|
|
415
Miami Dolphins
|
E:
1:00
|
3.5
|
|
+11
|
O-Line
Inj, not scoring
|
416 Houston Texans
|
40.5
|
-7
|
-3
|
Need
a lot of work
|
|
417
Detroit Lions
|
E:
4:00
|
44
|
|
+15
|
Martz
returns / couldn’t win at home
|
418 St. Louis Rams
|
6
|
-11
|
-7
|
Conservative
no interceptions
|
|
419
New England Pats
|
E:
4:15
|
46
|
|
+14.5
|
Still
trying to get feel on offense
|
420 Cincy Bengals
|
6
|
-10.5
|
-6.5
|
Bounce
DOWN aft Pitt/ Inj’s
|
|
421
Jacksonville Jags
|
E:
4:15
|
3
|
|
+5.5
|
D
playing tough / Off can’t finish/ B2B R
|
422 Washington Redskins
|
34.5
|
1.5
|
+2.5
|
Better
LW with Portis/ QB Brunell return
|
423 Cleveland Browns
|
E:
4:15
|
3
|
-11
|
-7
|
Gave
Ravens all they could handle
|
|
424
Oakland Raiders
|
34
|
|
+15
|
Off
not ready for prime time
|
|
425
Seattle Seahawks
|
E:
8:15
|
34.5
|
|
+18
|
RB
Alexander out / O-Line ?
|
426 Chicago Bears
|
3
|
-14
|
-10
|
Off
improving
|
Bye: Denver, Giants, Pitt, Tampa
|
MONDAY, OCTOBER 2, 2006
|
427 Green Bay Packers
|
E:
8:30
|
48
|
|
+10.5
|
Not
ready for prime time / Will score
|
|
428
Philly Eagles
|
11
|
-6.5
|
-2.5
|
McNabb
will light it up / D Inj’s
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For Anyone
Under 21 Years of Age
|
|
Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For
Anyone Under 21 Years of Age
|
|
The Legend
|
|
ATS
– Against Spread
aft
- after
bfr
- before
BPR
- Ben’s Power Rating
B2B
– Back To Back
BOUNCE
– Opp. result
D
– Dog
Def
- defense
DDD
– Double Digit Dog
DDF
- Double Digit Favorite
DIV - Division
F – Favorite
L
- Loss
SAND - Sandwich game
|
H – Home
HD – Home Dog
HF – Home Favorite
HOME TEAM – In Capitals
LW – Last Week
LY
– Last Year
N-DIV
- Non Division
O/U
– Over /Under
OFF
– Offense
R
– Road
REV
– Revenge
SU
– Straight Up
V
- Versus
W
- Win
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
