|
Week 17 Results
|
| Volume
IX-Week 17
|
January 3, 2008
|
|
2007 Results
|
¶
|
Week
|
Year to Date
|
%
|
| Ben's Picks |
-50¶
|
0-5 |
37-47-2 |
44% |
| Ben's
Power Rating (BPR) |
3-7
|
57-59-1 |
50%
|
| Teasers
|
1-5 |
49-38-2 |
56% |
|
Over/Unders
|
2-3 |
34-37-1 |
48% |
| HD's v
Opposite Turf |
2-2 |
21-24 |
47% |
|
|
Closing
Lines and Final Scores |
|
|
|
Ben's
Picks
All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless
otherwise specified.
|
|
Saturday
Night – 8:15
- Loser
- 4*
New England
v GIANTS --- Pats won’t let up now. Check weather, Pats need
a fast track.
|
- Loser
- * New Orleans
V CHICAGO --- Saints seeking revenge for NFC Championship loss here.
|
- Loser
- 5* St.
Louis v ARIZONA --- Cards giving up big points, Rams
take advantage.
- Loser
- 4* Cincy v MIAMI --- Bengals can’t be trusted in final game.
Fish under Tuna surveillance.
- Loser
- 4* Pittsburgh
v BALTIMORE --- Steelers still need a win. Ravens quit,
starting Troy Smith at QB.
|
|
|
Pick Results = 0-5
for -22* |
|
|
|
Teasers
(Teasers MUST include key
numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)
|
|
·
New England -10
Loser
·
PHILLY -3
No Play
·
Dallas +14
Loser
·
Jacksonville +10
Loser
·
New Orleans +3
Loser
·
Seattle +8
No Play
·
St. Louis +10
Loser
·
JETS -2
WINNER
|
|
|
Teaser Results = 1-5 |
|
|
|
The Over/Under's
|
|
·
Buffalo v PHILLY OVER – Check
Weather
Loser
·
Carolina v TAMPA UNDER
Loser
·
Seattle v ATLANTA UNDER
Loser
·
Tennessee v INDY UNDER
WINNER
·
St. Louis v ARIZONA OVER
WINNER
|
|
|
O/U Results = 2-3 |
|
|
|
HD's v Opposite Turf
Teams
|
|
·
MIAMI
Loser
·
CHICAGO
No Play
·
BALTIMORE
WINNER
·
INDY
Loser
·
DENVER
WINNER
|
|
|
Home Dog Results = 2-2 |
|
|
|
Closing
Lines and Final Scores |
|
|
|
Potential BPR Plays
Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power
Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of
4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are
the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check
individual game BPR's for any line movements):
|
| |
- GIANTS +8 or greater
-
MIAMI
+4.5 or greater
- Jax +2 or greater
- San Fran +10 or greater
|
-
Buffalo
+7.5 or greater
-
Dallas
+4 or greater
-
CHICAGO
-1.5 or less
- INDY -4 or less
|
-
TAMPA
-3 or less
-
GREEN
BAY
-3 or less
-
Seattle
-4.5 or less
-
OAKLAND
+9 or greater
|
|
|
|
|
NFL WEEK 17
|
SATURDAY, DECEMBER 29, 2007
|
|
Potential BPR Plays in Bold
|
EST
|
Line
|
BPR
|
Play
If
|
Notes
|
|
411
New England
Pats
|
8:15
|
14.5
|
-4
|
Pk
|
Striving
for perfection + records/ Pedal to metal
|
|
412
New York
Giants
|
46.5
|
|
+8
|
Don’t
need the win, no incentive
|
|
|
SUNDAY,
DECEMBER 30, 2007
|
|
419
Buffalo
Bills
|
1:00
|
38
|
|
+7.5
|
Off
2 tough weeks / Any gas left?
|
|
420
Philly Eagles
|
7.5
|
-3.5
|
+1
|
McNabb
on his game, finishing strong
|
|
421
Carolina
Panthers
|
1:00
|
3
|
|
+11
|
No
Peppers / QB Moore
|
|
422
Tampa
Bay
Bucs
|
36
|
-7
|
-3
|
Resting
starters
|
|
423
Cincy Bengals
|
1:00
|
3
|
-1.5
|
+2.5
|
Season
ended with last week’s win over Clev.
|
|
424
Miami
Dolphins
|
46
|
|
+4.5
|
Tuna
is lurking / Played hard despite record
|
|
425
Dallas
Cowboys
|
4:15
|
39
|
|
+4
|
T.O.
OUT / Clinched / Starters ?
|
|
426
Wash.
Redskins
|
8
|
Pk
|
+4
|
Need
Win / REVENGE / QB Collins
|
|
427
Detroit
Lions
|
1:00
|
40
|
|
+11
|
RB
Jones ? WR Williams OUT / Banged up
|
|
428
Green Bay
Packers
|
4.5
|
-7
|
-3
|
Clinched
/ How long will starters go?
|
|
429
Jacksonville
Jags
|
1:00
|
41
|
-2
|
+2
|
Clinched
/ Starters ?
|
|
430
Houston
Texans
|
6.5
|
|
+6
|
Want
to finish at 8-8
|
|
431
New Orleans
Saints
|
1:00
|
1
|
|
+9.5
|
REVENGE,
for losing NFC Championship
|
|
432
Chicago
Bears
|
40
|
-5.5
|
-1.5
|
QB
Kyle Orton – No offense
|
|
433
Pittsburgh
Steelers
|
4:15
|
3.5
|
-5.5
|
-1.5
|
Need
Win for seeding
|
|
434
Baltimore
Ravens
|
35.5
|
|
+9.5
|
RB
McGahee OUT – I think he’s in
Toronto
|
|
435
Seattle
Seahawks
|
1:00
|
38
|
-8.5
|
-4.5
|
Starters
resting
|
|
436
Atlanta
Falcons
|
Pk
|
|
+12.5
|
Bus
is running
|
|
437
San Fran Niners
|
1:00
|
41
|
|
+10
|
QB
Hill or Weinke – Funny hah?
|
|
438
Cleveland
Browns
|
10.5
|
-6
|
-2
|
Need
Tennessee
to lose
|
|
439
Tennessee
Titans
|
8:15
|
6
|
|
+12
|
C
Mawae, DT Hanyesworth ? /
|
|
440
Indy Colts
|
39
|
-8
|
-4
|
Resting
starters
|
|
441
Minny Vikings
|
| |
