|
Week 15 Results
|
| Volume
IX-Week 15
|
December 20, 2007
|
|
2007 Results
|
¶
|
Week
|
Year to Date
|
%
|
| Ben's Picks |
-36¶
|
3-2 |
33-40-2 |
45% |
| Ben's
Power Rating (BPR) |
5-1
|
51-50-1 |
51%
|
| Teasers
|
4-0 |
44-29-2 |
60% |
|
Over/Unders
|
3-1 |
30-31-1 |
49% |
| HD's v
Opposite Turf |
4-1 |
17-21 |
35% |
|
|
Closing
Lines and Final Scores |
|
|
|
Ben's
Picks
All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless
otherwise specified.
|
|
Thursday
Nite
- WINNER
- 4* Denver v HOUSTON
--- Broncos inconsistent, Texans good at home
|
- WINNER
- 5* Jacksonville
v PITTSBURGH --- Jags on a roll, Steelers in apost New England
hangover.
- Loser
- 5* Tennessee v KANSAS CITY --- Titans 1-4 SU and not a good road
favorite
- Loser
- 4* Jets v NEW ENGLAND --- Pats revenge for ‘Spygate’, check
the weather, need a fast track.
- WINNER
- 4* Indy v OAKLAND --- Colts in a flat spot, 3 of 4 on the road.
|
|
|
Pick Results = 3-2
for +4* |
|
|
|
Teasers
(Teasers MUST include key
numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)
|
|
·
Arizona +10
WINNER
·
TAMPA -7
WINNER
·
Buffalo +10
WINNER
·
ST. LOUIS +17
No Play
·
Jacksonville +10
No Play
·
K.C. +10
No Play
·
OAKLAND +17
No Play
·
Chicago +14
WINNER
|
|
|
Teaser Results = 4-0 |
|
|
|
The Over/Under's
|
|
·
Arizona
v
NEW ORLEANS
OVER
WINNER
·
Buffalo
v
CLEVELAND
UNDER
WINNER
·
Philly v
DALLAS
OVER
Loser
·
Chicago
v MINNY UNDER
WINNER
|
|
|
O/U Results = 3-1 |
|
|
|
HD's v Opposite Turf
Teams
|
|
·
SAN FRAN
WINNER
·
MIAMI
WINNER
·
ST. LOUIS
Loser
·
CAROLINA
WINNER
·
OAKLAND
WINNER
|
|
|
Home Dog Results = 4-1 |
|
|
|
Closing
Lines and Final Scores |
|
|
|
Potential BPR Plays
Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power
Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of
4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are
the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check
individual game BPR's for any line movements):
|
| |
-
HOUSTON
-1.5 or less
-
MIAMI
+1 or greater
- CAROL. +8.5 or greater
-
Detroit
+11.5 or greater
|
- SAN FRAN +4 or greater
-
ST. LOUIS
+10 or greater
- K.C. +3.5 or greater
- Philly +11 or greater
|
-
Atlanta
+14.5
- Jets +14.5 or greater
- OAK. +6.5 or greater
-
Chicago
+11 or greater
|
NFL WEEK 15
|
THURSDAY, DECEMBER 13, 2007
|
|
Potential BPR Plays in Bold
|
EST
|
Line
|
BPR
|
Play
If
|
Notes
|
|
251
Denver
Broncos
|
8:15
|
1
|
|
+9.5
|
Shanahan
v former assistant Kubiak
|
|
252
Houston
Texans
|
47
|
-5.5
|
-1.5
|
QB
Rosenfels / Playing better
|
|
|
SATURDAY, DECEMBER 15, 2007
|
|
253
Cincy Bengals
|
8:15
|
9
|
Pk
|
+4
|
Defense
has many holes
|
|
254
San Fran Niners
|
43
|
|
+4
|
QB
Hill ? / Offense stinks
|
|
|
SUNDAY,
DECEMBER 16, 2007
|
|
255
Arizona
Cardinals
|
1:00
|
47.5
|
|
+8.5
|
2
WR ? / Secondary ?
|
|
256
New Orleans
Saints
|
3.5
|
-4.5
|
Pk
|
RB
Bush OUT
|
|
257
Atlanta
Falcons
|
1:00
|
39
|
|
+14.5
|
STAY
AWAY – TEAM IMPLOSION
|
|
258
Tampa
Bay
Bucs
|
13
|
-10.5
|
-6.5
|
QB
Garcia ?
|
|
259
Baltimore
Ravens
|
1:00
|
3.5
|
|
+7
|
0-7
SU / If they lose here, coach in trouble
|
|
260
Miami
Dolphins
|
37.5
|
-3
|
+1
|
QB
Cleo Lemon starts / Pitiful last week
|
|
261
Buffalo
Bills
|
1:00
|
43
|
|
+9
|
S
George Wilson OUT / Need bad weather
|
|
262
Cleveland
Browns
|
5.5
|
-5
|
-1
|
Can
score / Defense ? / playoff implications
|
|
263
Green Bay
Packers
|
1:00
|
10
|
-6
|
-2
|
What’s
Favre up to?
|
|
264
St. Louis
Rams
|
45
|
|
+10
|
QB
Bulger ? /
|
|
265
Jacksonville
Jags
|
1:00
|
37
|
|
+6
|
On
a roll, tough out
|
|
266
Pittsburgh
Steelers
|
3.5
|
-2
|
+2
|
S Palamalu
? / Pats
hangover ?
|
|
267
New York
Jets
|
1:00
|
46
|
|
+14.5
|
Man-Genius
will turn into Man-Moron
|
|
268
New England
Pats
|
23.5
|
-10.5
|
-6.5
|
Revenge
for SPYGATE
|
|
269
Seattle
Seahawks
|
1:00
|
7.5
|
-4.5
|
Pk
|
3
of 4 on road / locked up division
|
|
270
Carolina
Panthers
|
37
|
|
+8.5
|
Packed
it in?
|
|
271
Tennessee
Titans
|
1:00
|
4
|
|
+4.5
|
1-4
SU / Need W for Wildcard run
|
|
272
Kansas City
Chiefs
|
34
|
-½
|
+3.5
|
QB
Cryole / Last Home game
|
|
273
Indy Colts
|
4:00
|
10.5
|
-2.5
|
+1.5
|
3
of 4 on road / In a flat spot
|
|
274
Oakland
Raiders
|
44.5
|
|
+6.5
|
QB
McNown / Must man up
|
|
275
Detroit
Lions
|
4:15
|
45.5
|
|
| |
