|
Week 14 Results
|
| Volume
IX-Week 14
|
December 13, 2007
|
|
2007 Results
|
¶
|
Week
|
Year to Date
|
%
|
| Ben's Picks |
-40¶
|
2-3 |
30-38-2 |
44% |
| Ben's
Power Rating (BPR) |
1-3
|
46-49-1 |
48%
|
| Teasers
|
0-3 |
40-29-2 |
58% |
|
Over/Unders
|
2-2 |
27-30-1 |
47% |
| HD's v
Opposite Turf |
0-3 |
13-20 |
39% |
|
|
Closing
Lines and Final Scores |
|
|
|
Ben's
Picks
All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless
otherwise specified.
|
- WINNER
- 4* Dallas v DETROIT --- Boys due for a downer, Lions due for an
upper.
- Loser
- 4* Miami
v BUFFALO --- The Fish are 0-12 but have played many close
games. Bills can’t spot anyone 7, they didn’t even score a
TD last week.
- WINNER
- 4* Tampa v HOUSTON --- Garcia should be back, but Bucs in a flat
spot.
- Loser
- 4* Minny v SAN FRAN --- Vikes spotting too many. Niner veteran QB
Dilfer should protect ball.
- Loser
- 4* Indy v BALTIMORE --- Colts winning but not dominating. Ravens
in revenge mode for loss in playoffs last year.
|
|
|
Pick Results = 2-3
for -4* |
|
|
|
Teasers
(Teasers MUST include key
numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)
|
|
·
Carolina +17
Loser
·
DETROIT +17
No Play
·
Miami +14
No Play
·
San Diego +7
No Play
·
NINERS +14
No Play
·
JETS +10
No Play
·
BALTIMORE +14
Loser
·
ATLANTA +10
Loser
|
|
|
Teaser Results = 0-3 |
|
|
|
The Over/Under's
|
|
·
Dallas v DETROIT OVER
WINNER
·
Miami v BUFFALO UNDER
Loser
·
Minny v SAN FRAN UNDER
WINNER
·
Cleveland v JETS OVER
Loser
|
|
|
O/U Results = 2-2 |
|
|
|
HD's v Opposite Turf
Teams
|
-
TENNESSEE
if
Dog
Loser
- SAN
FRAN
Loser
- JETS
Loser
|
|
|
Home Dog Results = 0-3 |
|
|
|
Closing
Lines and Final Scores |
|
|
|
Potential BPR Plays
Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power
Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of
4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are
the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check
individual game BPR's for any line movements):
|
| |
-
Chicago
+4 or greater
-
Pittsburgh
+8.5 or greater
- SAN FRAN +6.5 or greater
- BALT. +9 or greater
|
-
DETROIT
+4 or greater
-
San Diego
+1
- JETS +3.5 or greater
|
-
Oakland
+12 or greater
-
HOUSTON
+4 or greater
- K.C. +5.5 or greater
|
NFL WEEK 14
|
THURSDAY, DECEMBER 6, 2007
|
|
Potential BPR Plays in Bold
|
EST
|
Line
|
BPR
|
Play
If
|
Notes
|
|
101
Chicago
Bears
|
8:15
|
38
|
|
+4
|
RB
Benson OUT
|
|
102
Wash.
Redskins
|
3
|
Pk
|
+4
|
Tough
week for Skins
|
|
|
SUNDAY,
DECEMBER 9, 2007
|
|
103
Carolina
Panthers
|
1:00
|
38
|
|
+13
|
Better
on the road
|
|
104
Jacksonville
Jags
|
10.5
|
-9
|
-5
|
Jags
can’t spot big numbers
|
|
105
Dallas
Cowboys
|
1:00
|
11
|
|
+4
|
Flat
spot for the Boys
|
|
106
Detroit
Lions
|
51.5
|
Pk
|
+4
|
If
they have anything left they better show it
|
|
107
Miami
Dolphins
|
1:00
|
36
|
|
+10
|
QB
Beck needs to hang on to ball
|
|
108
Buffalo
Bills
|
7
|
-6
|
-2
|
Bills
can’t score a TD, how do they spot one?
|
|
109
New York
Giants
|
1:00
|
43
|
|
+6
|
RB
Ward OUT
|
|
110
Philly Eagles
|
3
|
-2
|
+2
|
Revenge
/ McNabb ?
|
|
111
Oakland
Raiders
|
1:00
|
41
|
|
+12
|
QB
– choose from 3
|
|
112
Green Bay
Packers
|
10
|
-8
|
-4
|
#
to big, Brett might do business-win + no cover
|
|
113
Pittsburgh
Steelers
|
4:15
|
49.5
|
|
+8.5
|
Guaranteeing
a win, lot’s a luck
|
|
114
New England
Pats
|
10.5
|
-4.5
|
Pk
|
Due
for a big W
|
|
115
San Diego
Chargers
|
1:00
|
41
|
-3
|
+1
|
Getting
back on track
|
|
116
Tennessee
Titans
|
Pk
|
|
+7
|
Only
1 W in last 4
|
|
117
St. Louis
Rams
|
1:00
|
48
|
|
+11
|
Playing
much better, 3-1 SU
|
|
118
Cincy Bengals
|
6.5
|
-7
|
-3
|
Hot
and cold
|
|
119
Tampa
Bay
Bucs
|
1:00
|
3
|
-1.5
|
+2.5
|
Garcia
– flat spot
|
|
120
Houston
Texans
|
40
|
|
+4
|
Rosenfels
starts at QB / RB Green Prob.
|
|
121
Arizona
Cardinals
|
4:00
|
44
|
|
+10.5
|
WR’s
Bolden and Fitzgerald both ?
|
|
122
Seattle
Seahawks
|
7
|
-6.5
|
-2.5
|
Revenge
/ 4-0 SU
|
|
123
Minny Vikings
|
4:00
|
8.5
|
-2.5
|
+1.5
|
4-1
SU / Not ready to spot big #
|
|
124
San Fran Niners
|
39
|
|
+6.5
|
Dilfer
starts at QB
|
|
125
Cleveland
Browns
|
4:15
|
3.5
|
|
+4.5
|
Big
O / Bad D
|
|
126
New York
Jets
|
47.5
|
-½
|
+3.5
|
| |
