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Championship Results
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| Volume
VIII-Week Championship
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January 31, 2007
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2006 Results
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¶
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Week
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Year to Date
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%
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| Ben's Picks |
-16¶
|
2-1 |
47-51-3 |
48% |
| Ben's
Power Rating (BPR) |
1-1
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71-58-1 |
55%
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Over/Unders
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1-1 |
32-45-3 |
42% |
| Teasers |
1-1 |
84-21-1 |
80% |
| HD's v
Opposite Turf |
0-0 |
19-13 |
59% |
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Closing
Lines and Final Scores |
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Ben's
Picks
All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless
otherwise specified.
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Loser
·
5* New Orleans v CHICAGO --- The
Bears do not impress me. They supposedly have this fantastic
defense and a humongous home field advantage, but I’m just not
buying it. Chicago was tooth and nails to beat a mediocre Seahawks
squad last week, needing overtime to “Bearly” win. Last
year they got waxed in the playoffs, at home, by the Panthers.
Chicago has little offense and a QB that can’t be trusted. The
Saints, on the other hand, have a proven QB and a very diversified
offense. The New Orleans defense is not the greatest, but their
bend but don’t break philosophy should get it done v. the error
prone Grossman. Ride the “Karma Train”, take the
Saints. Choo-Choo!
WINNER
·
5* New Orleans v CHICAGO --- OVER The Total
--- Check the Chicago Weather!
WINNER
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5 * New England v INDY --- The Pats
made out like bandits last week, stealing one in San Diego and
high tailing it outta town. They were outplayed, and Brady had 3
interceptions, but somehow the Pats managed to get it done. The
Colts were an afterthought in these playoffs, especially with
their porous defense. That defense has stepped it up, allowing
just 14 points in two games. Indy has defeated the Pats 2 years in
a row, in New England. The Pats can be beaten, but they will not
beat themselves. Peyton Manning has not been stellar, the last 2
weeks, and it will be on his “shoulder” to finally get
the Patriot, and Superbowl, monkey’s off his back. Peyton,
there’s only 1 thing to do, Cut That Meat! Cut That Meat!
Indy finally does it.
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Picks Results = 2-1
for +5* |
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The Over/Under's
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·
New Orleans v CHICAGO OVER WINNER
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New England v INDY UNDER Loser
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O/U Results = 1-1 |
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Teasers
(Teasers MUST include key
numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)
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·
New Orleans +7.5 Loser
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INDY +3 WINNER
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Teaser Total = 1-1 |
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HD's v Opposite Turf
Teams
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Home Dog Results = |
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None |
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Closing
Lines and Final Scores |
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Potential BPR Plays
Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power
Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of
4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are
the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check
individual game BPR's for any line movements):
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·
CHICAGO –5 or less
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New England +1.5 or greater
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NFL CHAMPIONSHIPS
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SUNDAY, JANUARY 21, 2007
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Potential BPR Plays in Bold
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EST
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Line
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BPR
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Play
If
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Notes
(All Trends Against The Spread)
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303
New Orleans
Saints
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3:00
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43
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+13
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11-6
SU / 10-7 ATS / 6-2 SU R / 7-1 ATS R / 4-2 SU Grass / 5-1 ATS Grass
/ 5-2 ATS / 9-4 v NFC/ 9-8 O-U/ 4-4 O-U R / 25.9 avg pts for– 20.4
pts against/ Scored 30 or more 6 of 8 R / 3-1 SU, 3-0-1 ATS v Bears
/ WR Horn, SS Stoutmire ? / |
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304
Chicago
Bears
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2.5
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-9
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-5
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14-3
SU / 9-8 ATS / 7-2 SU H / 5-4 ATS H / 12-4-1 O-U / 8-1 O-U H / 0-4
ATS / Chicago 20 – SAINTS 17, LY / Allowed 26.4 points last 5 gmes/
26.7 avg pts for– 16.4 pts against/ Teams off OT W P-offs 2-10 SU/
DE Ogunleye?, WR Brady Doubt
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305
New England
Patriots
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8:30
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47.5
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-2.5
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+1.5
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14-4
SU / 12-6 ATS / 8-1 SU R / 8-1 ATS R / 6-5 Art / 7-11 O-U / 4-5 O-U
R / 10-3 O-U as D / 8-2 SU v Indy, But 0-2 / 24.8 avg pts for- 15.3
pts against/ Short week, B2B R / S Harrison ?
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306
Indianapolis
Colts
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3
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+6.5
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14-4
SU / 10-8 ATS / 9-0 SU H /6-3 ATS H / 8-10 O-U / 4-10 O-U H / WR
Proehl ? / Indy 27 – PATS 20, Nov 5th / 25.8 avg pts
for- 20.8 pts against
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Championship
Trends ----
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H
team is 6-11-1 ATS / Dogs 12-6 and 8-4 ATS since 97 / Last 4 years
all Championship games decided by double digits /
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BPR Results
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Winners - CHICAGO |
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Losers - New
England |
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No Plays - |
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Total - 1-1 |
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Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For
Anyone Under 21 Years of Age
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The Legend
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ATS
– Against Spread
aft
- after
bfr
- before
BPR
- Ben’s Power Rating
B2B
– Back To Back
BOUNCE
– Opp. result
D
– Dog
Def
- defense
DDD
– Double Digit Dog
DDF
- Double Digit Favorite
DIV - Division
F – Favorite
L
- Loss
SAND - Sandwich game
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H – Home
HD – Home Dog
HF – Home Favorite
HOME TEAM – In Capitals
LW – Last Week
LY
– Last Year
N-DIV
- Non Division
O/U
– Over /Under
OFF
– Offense
R
– Road
REV
– Revenge
SU
– Straight Up
V
- Versus
W
- Win
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