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Week 4 Results
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| Volume
IX-Week 4
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October 4, 2007
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2007 Results
|
¶
|
Week
|
Year to Date
|
%
|
| Ben's Picks |
+3¶
|
3-2 |
10-9-1 |
53% |
| Ben's
Power Rating (BPR) |
6-3
|
15-11-1 |
58%
|
| Teasers
|
2-2-1 |
11-9-1 |
55% |
|
Over/Unders
|
1-3 |
10-6 |
63% |
| HD's v
Opposite Turf |
2-2 |
8-4 |
67% |
|
|
Closing
Lines and Final Scores |
|
Ben's
Picks
All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless
otherwise specified.
|
- WINNER
- 5* Baltimore v CLEVELAND --- Browns pumped for ‘Modell Bowl”,
Ravens lacking offense, Jamal Lewis gets his revenge.
- WINNER
- 4* Chicago v DETROIT --- Bears defense decimated, Martz puts on the
pressure, Greise needs to step up.
- Loser
- 4* Green Bay v MINNY --- Pack doing it with defense, Vikings do it
back.
- WINNER
- 4* Tampa v
CAROLINA --- Delhomme ?, the Bucs keep it close.
- Loser
- 3* OVER the Total
--- Jets v BUFFALO --- Bills defense starting people off the street,
Pennington has a field day. Buffalo rookie QB, Edwards, will try to
keep up.
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Picks Results = 3-2
for +6* |
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Teasers
(Teasers MUST include key
numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)
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·
CLEVELAND +10
No Play
·
DETROIT +10
No Play
·
MINNY +7
Tie
·
BUFFALO +10
No Play
·
Tampa +7
WINNER
·
SAN FRAN +7
Loser
·
ARIZONA +10
WINNER
·
SAN DIEGO -7
Loser
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Teaser Total = 2-2-1 |
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The Over/Under's
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·
Green Bay v MINNY UNDER
Loser
·
St. Louis v DALLAS OVER
Loser
·
Tampa v CAROLINA UNDER
WINNER
·
Philly v GIANTS OVER
Loser
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O/U Results = 1-3 |
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HD's v Opposite Turf
Teams
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- ATLANTA
WINNER
- DETROIT
WINNER
- MINNY
if Dog
Loser
- SAN
FRAN if Dog
Loser
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Home Dog Results = 2-2 |
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Closing
Lines and Final Scores |
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Potential BPR Plays
Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power
Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of
4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are
the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check
individual game BPR's for any line movements):
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-
Oakland
+3.5 or greater
-
DETROIT
+1 or greater
-
BUFFALO
+5.5 or greater
- K.C. +13.5 or greater
|
-
Houston
-9 or less
- MINNY +2.5 or greater
-
Tampa
+1 or greater
- INDY -11 or less
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- CLEV. +1.5 or greater
-
DALLAS
-13 or less
- Pitt. -7 or less
- CINCY +7 or greater
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NFL WEEK 4
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SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 30, 2007
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Potential BPR Plays in Bold
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EST
|
Line
|
BPR
|
Play
If
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Notes
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205
Oakland
Raiders
|
E:
1:00
|
41.5
|
-½
|
+3.5
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Culpepper
returns, should start
|
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206
Miami
Dolphins
|
4
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+4.5
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1-9
SU
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|
207
Houston
Texans
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E:
1:00
|
3
|
-13
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-9
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QB
Schaub returns / WR, RB
OUT
|
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208
Atlanta
Falcons
|
38.5
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+17
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Need
W, internal strife
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|
209
Baltimore
Ravens
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E:
1:00
|
4
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+6.5
|
2
QB’s and can’t get the job done
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|
210
Cleveland
Browns
|
39.5
|
-2.5
|
+1.5
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TE
Winslow ? / Jamal Lewis revenge
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|
211
Chicago
Bears
|
E:
1:00
|
3
|
|
+7.5
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QB
Greise starts / many Inj defense
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|
212
Detroit
Lions
|
44.5
|
-3.5
|
+1
|
WR
Johnson ?
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|
213
Green Bay
Packers
|
E:
1:00
|
1.5
|
|
+5.5
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Defense
playing tough
|
|
214
Minny Vikings
|
37.5
|
-1.5
|
+2.5
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Tough
defense, offense stuck in 1st gear
|
|
215
St. Louis
Rams
|
E:
1:00
|
45.5
|
|
+21
|
Decimated
offensive line, CB ?
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|
216
Dallas
Cowboys
|
13
|
-17
|
-13
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Romo
lighting it up / 8-16 DDF
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217
New York
Jets
|
E:
1:00
|
3.5
|
-1.5
|
+2.5
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Pennington
licking his chops
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|
218
Buffalo
Bills
|
37
|
|
+5.5
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Edwards
starts at QB / Defense in big trouble
|
|
219
Tampa
Bay
Bucs
|
E:
4:00
|
39
|
-3
|
+1
|
Garcia
keeps Bucs alive
|
|
220
Carolina
Panthers
|
2.5
|
|
+7
|
QB
Delhomme ? / LB Morgan ?
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|
221
Seattle
Seahawks
|
E:
4:00
|
2
|
-1.5
|
+2.5
|
RB
Alexander broken hand ?
|
|
222
San Fran Niners
|
40.5
|
|
+5.5
|
2-0
v Niners LY / LB ?
|
|
223
Pittsburgh
Steelers
|
E:
4:15
|
5.5
|
-11
|
-7
|
WR,
C ? / Strong start
|
|
224
Arizona
Cardinals
|
42
|
|
+15
|
Rotating
QB’s / RT Brown / Coach Wis. Rev
|
|
225
Kansas City
Chiefs
|
E:
4:15
|
39
|
|
+13.5
|
No
offense
|
|
226
San Diego
Chargers
|
12.5
|
-9.5
|
-5.5
|
Desperate
for big W
|
|
227
Denver
Broncos
|
E:
4:15
|
45.5
|
|
+19
|
Cutler
? / S Lynch ?
|
|
228
Indy Colts
|
9.5
|
-15
|
-11
|
Haven’t
been covering big spreads
|
|
229
Philly Eagles
|
E:
8:15
|
2.5
|
-3.5
|
+1
|
RB
Westbrook ? / Many Inj on defense
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|
230
New York
Giants
|
47.5
|
|
+7.5
|
Defense
can’t stop the pass
|
Bye; Jax,
New Orleans
;
Tenn
,
Wash.
|
MONDAY, OCTOBER 1, 2007
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|
231
New England
Pats
|
E:
8:30
|
7.5
|
-3
|
+1
|
Clicking
on all cylinders
|
|
232
Cincy Bengals
|
53
|
|
+7
|
Can
they outscore the Pats?
|
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BPR Results
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Winners - Oakland,
CLEVELAND, DETROIT, DALLAS, Tampa, INDY |
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Losers - Houston,
Pittsburgh, CINCY |
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No Plays
- MINNY, BUFFALO, K.C. |
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Total - 6-3 |
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Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For
Anyone Under 21 Years of Age
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The Legend
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ATS
– Against Spread
aft
- after
bfr
- before
BPR
- Ben’s Power Rating
B2B
– Back To Back
BOUNCE
– Opp. result
D
– Dog
Def
- defense
DDD
– Double Digit Dog
DDF
- Double Digit Favorite
DIV - Division
F – Favorite
L
- Loss
SAND - Sandwich game
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H – Home
HD – Home Dog
HF – Home Favorite
HOME TEAM – In Capitals
LW – Last Week
LY
– Last Year
N-DIV
- Non Division
O/U
– Over /Under
OFF
– Offense
R
– Road
REV
– Revenge
SU
– Straight Up
V
- Versus
W
- Win
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