Ben's Picks

NOW - Only $50 All Year!
    Odds   Injuries    Scores Wire Weather   Stats  Rumors  Sign Up  
 
Home
E-Mail
Sign Up
BPR ?
Feedback
The Rant
Free Pick
 
Closing Lines
 
2007 Results
 
Super Bowl XLII
Championship
Divisional

Wildcard

Week 17
Week 16
Week 15
Week 14
Week 13
Week 12
Week 11
Week 10
Week 9
Week 8
Week 7
Week 6
Week 5
Week 4
Week 3
Week 2
Week 1
2007 NFL Preview
 
 
 
 
 
 
2006 Record
Super Bowl XLI
Championship
Divisional
Wildcard
Week 17
Week 16
Week 15
Week 14
Week 13
Week 12
Week 11
Week 10
Week 9
Week 8
Week 7
Week 6
Week 5
Week 4
Week 3
Week 2
Week 1
 
 
Closing Lines
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2005 Record
 
Superbowl XL
Championship
Divisional
Wildcard
Week 17
Week 16
Week 15
Week 14
Week 13
Week 12
Week 11
Week 10
Week 9
Week 8
Week 7
Week 6
Week 5
Week 4
Week 3
Week 2
Week 1
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

Week 16 Results

Volume IX-Week 16

December 27, 2007

2007 Results

      

Week

Year to Date

%

Ben's Picks

-28

4-2 37-42-2 47%
Ben's Power Rating (BPR)

5-2

56-52-1

52%

Teasers 4-4 48-33-2 59%

Over/Unders

2-3 32-34-1 49%
HD's v Opposite Turf 2-1 19-22 46%

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Ben's Picks

All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless otherwise specified.

Thursday Night – 8:15

  • Loser - 4* Pittsburgh v ST. LOUIS --- Steelers in a funk, Rams can score.

 

  • Loser - 5* Houston v INDY -- Texans playing tough, Colts resting, clinched playoff bye and D-line injured.

 

  • WINNER - 5* Philly v NEW ORLEANS --- Eagles get revenge for playoff loss to Saints.

 

  • WINNER - 4* Cleveland v CINCY --- Browns due for a letdown, Bengals know they can score v Cleveland.

 

  • WINNER - 4* Washington v MINNY --- Skins a tough out, game a must win for both sided.

 

  • WINNER - 4* Tampa v SAN FRAN --- Bucs clinched Division, Niners QB, Hill, actually getting the job done.
 
Pick Results = 4-2 for +8*
 
Teasers

  (Teasers MUST include key numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)

·        ST. LOUIS +14 Loser

·        Green Bay -3 Loser

·        Houston +11 Loser

·        DETROIT Pk WINNER

·        BUFFALO +7 Loser

·        Philly +7 WINNER

·        Jets +14 WINNER

·        SAN DIEGO -3 WINNER

 
Teaser Results = 4-4
 
The Over/Under's

·        Cleveland v CINCY OVER Loser

·        Giants v BUFFALO OVER WINNER

·        Washington v MINNY UNDER Loser

·        Atlanta v ARIZONA OVER WINNER

·        Tampa v SAN FRAN UNDER Loser

 
O/U Results = 2-3
 
HD's v Opposite Turf Teams

·        ST. LOUIS Loser

·        CAROLINA WINNER

·        CINCY WINNER

 
Home Dog Results = 2-1
 

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Potential BPR Plays

    Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of 4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check individual game BPR's for any  line movements):

 
  • ST. LOUIS +9.5 or greater
  • CHICAGO +6 or greater
  • Oakland +12 or greater
  • SAN DIEGO -8 or less
  • CAROL. +7 or greater
  • Miami +18 or greater
  • Jets +8 or greater
  • CINCY +3.5 or greater
  • BUFFALO +1 or greater
  • SAN FRAN +6.5 or greatr

NFL WEEK 16

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 20, 2007

Potential BPR Plays in Bold

EST

Line

BPR

Play If

Notes

301 Pittsburgh Steelers

8:15

7.5

-5.5

-1.5

0-2 SU / Need to stop slide to top Div

302 St. Louis Rams

44

 

+9.5

Injured off-line may have trouble v Pitt blitz

 

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 21, 2007

307 Dallas Cowboys

8:15

10.5

-3

+1

4-1 ATS v Carolina / Romo thumb? /

308 Carolina Panthers

43

 

+7

Matt Moore starts at QB – Who?

 

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 23, 2007

315 Cleveland Browns

1:00

2.5

 

+4.5

3 in 4 on road / Need for playoffs

316 Cincy Bengals

44

+3.5

REVENGE / BAD defense LW not good v Clev

317 Green Bay Packers

1:00

8.5

-2

+2

REVENGE / Need win for home field

318 Chicago Bears

38

 

+6

Kyle Orton starts/ Can off. keep up with Brett

319 Houston Texans

1:00

46

 

+11

4-2 SU / Putting it together

320 Indy Colts

7

-7

-3

2-4 ATS / Clinched playoff bye may rest starters

321 Kansas City Chiefs

1:00

43.5

 

+9.5

Croyle starts at QB / Lost last 7

322 Detroit Lions

4

-5.5

-1.5

Lost last 6

323 Miami Dolphins

4:15

43

 

+18

Finally won one / In tough here

324 New England Pats

21.5

-14

-10

Will they go all out?

325 New York Giants

1:00

3

 

+7

Shockey OUT / Need Win for playoffs

326 Buffalo Bills

33

-3

+1

Out of playoffs / 5-1 HD / Will they play hard

327 Oakland Raiders

1:00

39

 

+12

QB Russell will either start or finish

328 Jacksonville Jags

12.5

-8

-4

Playing great, but due for a letdown after Pitt.

329 Philly Eagles

1:00

47

 

+8.5

Revenge for getting booted in playoffs

330 New Orleans Saints

3

-4.5

Pk

Playing better, but missing 2 RB

331 Wash. Redskins

8:15

41

 

+11.5

QB Collins keeping it together

332 Minny Vikings

6.5

-7.5

-3.5

Game has playoffs implications for both teams

333 Atlanta Falcons

4:00

43

 

+13.5

Falcons have quit – including coach

334 Arizona Cardinals

10

-9.5

-5.5

Defense has many injuries

335 Baltimore Ravens

4:15

39.5