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Week 3
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| Volume
VIII, Week 3
|
September 22, 2006
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|
2006 Results
|
¶
|
Week
|
Year to Date
|
%
|
| Ben's Picks |
+8¶
|
2-3 |
6-4 |
60% |
| Ben's
Power Rating (BPR) |
4-3
|
8-5 |
62%
|
|
Over/Unders
|
3-1 |
7-1 |
88% |
| Teasers |
4-1 |
10-3 |
77% |
| HD's v
Opposite Turf |
1-2 |
3-2 |
60% |
|
|
Closing
Lines and Final Scores |
|
|
|
Ben's
Picks
All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless
otherwise specified.
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|
- WINNER
- 5* Cincy v PITTSBURGH --- Bengals in
midseason form and looking for revenge, Big Ben rusty.
- Tie
- 4* Jax v INDY --- Jags defense playing
tough and have Colts #, Indy without “Edge”.
- WINNER
- 4* Chicago v MINNY --- Bears finally
face a real team, Vikes up to the challenge, as a home dog.
- WINNER
- 4* Denver v NEW ENG --- Broncos always
play Pats tough, too many points in a low scoring game.
- Loser
- 3* Washington v HOUSTON --- Redskins
should not be spotting especially on the Road.
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|
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Picks Results = 3-1-1
for +10* |
|
|
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The Over/Under's
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|
·
Loser - Tennessee
v MIAMI OVER
·
Loser - Washington v
HOUSTON UNDER
·
Tie
- Chicago v MINNY UNDER
·
WINNER - Denver v NEW
ENGLAND UNDER
|
|
|
O/U Results = 1-2-1 |
|
|
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Teasers
(Teasers MUST include key
numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)
|
|
·
WINNER
-
Cincy +7
·
WINNER
-
Jax +13
·
Loser
-
MIAMI –6
·
No
Play
- HOUSTON +10
·
Loser
-
DETROIT –2.5
·
Tie
-
Baltimore –2.5
·
No
Play -
Giants +10
·
WINNER
-
Denver +10
|
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Teaser Total = 3-2-1 |
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HD's v Opposite Turf
Teams
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Home Dog Results = 1-0 |
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Closing
Lines and Final Scores |
|
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|
Potential BPR Plays
Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power
Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of
4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are
the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check
individual game BPR's for any line movements):
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BPR Results
- 4-5-1
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|
Winners
Tennessee
Green Bay
St. Louis
Seattle
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|
Losers
Buffalo
Houston
Chicago
San Fran
Atlanta
Jacksonville - Tie
|
|
Remember, compare the BPR
(Ben’s Power Rating) to the spread and if there’s a difference
of 4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. (Check
individual game BPR’s for any line movements):
CAUTION!
The BPR
numbers below are based on last year’s closing numbers and should only
be used as a
guideline until the 4th week of the season.
NFL WEEK 3
|
SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 24, 2006
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|
Potential BPR Plays in Bold
|
EST
|
Line
|
BPR
|
Play
If
|
Notes
|
|
199
New York Jets
|
E:
1:00
|
34
|
|
+14.5
|
Can’t
run / 2 WR’s ?
|
200 Buffalo Bills
|
5.5
|
-10.5
|
-6.5
|
D
goes after Penny / O will take shots
|
|
201
Cincy Bengals
|
E:
1:00
|
41.5
|
|
+7
|
Palmer
looking for revenge
|
|
202
Pittsburgh Steelers
|
1.5
|
-3
|
+1
|
Big
Ben not up to form
|
203 Jacksonville Jags
|
E:
1:00
|
44
|
|
+7
|
Looked
tough on Mon/ Match up w/Colts
|
|
204
Indy Colts
|
7
|
-3
|
+1
|
Missing
the “Edge” / Freeney?
|
205 Tennessee Titans
|
E:
1:00
|
35
|
|
+8
|
Collins
still not ready / D sucks
|
|
206
Miami Dolphins
|
11
|
-4
|
pk
|
Culpepper
immobile/Fish need to man up
|
|
207
Wash Redskins
|
E:
1:00
|
3.5
|
|
+7
|
Off
Sucks / Need Portis ?
|
208 Houston Texans
|
37.5
|
-3
|
+1
|
New
Coach, same old shit
|
209 Chicago Bears
|
E:
1:00
|
3.5
|
-15.5
|
-11.5
|
Grossman
unleashed LW / D good
|
|
210
Minny Vikings
|
34
|
|
+19.5
|
Come
to play / Will give Bears a fight
|
211 Carolina Panthers
|
E:
1:00
|
3
|
-6.5
|
-2.5
|
Need
WR Smith / Inj’s on D
|
|
212
Tampa Bucs
|
35
|
|
+10.5
|
Simms
SUCKS / D getting old, inj’s
|
213 Green Bay Packers
|
E:
1:00
|
39
|
-1
|
+3
|
If
you can’t beat the Saints at H, why bother?
|
|
214
Detroit Lions
|
6.5
|
|
+5
|
Still
looking for Off / D toasted in Chic
|
215 Baltimore Ravens
|
E:
4:00
|
6.5
|
-9.5
|
-5.5
|
D
looks like old Ravens / Off stalls
|
|
216
Cleveland Browns
|
33.5
|
|
+13.5
|
O-line
in shambles / Couldn’t stop Cincy
|
217 St. Louis Rams
|
E:
4:15
|
45
|
|
+5
|
Off
not producing / D improved
|
|
218
Arizona Cardinals
|
4.5
|
-1
|
+3
|
Off
can’t run / D still sucks
|
|
219
New York Giants
|
E:
4:15
|
44
|
|
+13
|
Nice
comeback / Ready to take next step?
|
220 Seattle Seahawks
|
3.5
|
-9
|
-5
|
Need
to put up points / Branch Prob.
|
|
221
Philly Eagles
|
E:
4:15
|
6
|
|
+8.5
|
After
big letdown, will be pissed / RB ?
|
222 San Fran Niners
|
42
|
-4.5
|
pk
|
Nice
win, but still not ready for Birds
|
223 Denver Broncos
|
E:
8:15
|
39
|
|
+8
|
Plummer
still in a funk
|
|
224
New England Pats
|
6.5
|
-4
|
pk
|
Looking
for Revenge, but not same team
|
Bye: Dallas, K.C.,
Oak, San Diego
|
MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 25, 2006
|
225 Atlanta Falcons
|
E:
8:30
|
3.5
|
-8.5
|
-4.5
|
Dirty
Birds look tough, but facing karma
|
|
226
New Orleans Saints
|
42
|
|
+12.5
|
Big
night, will give it their all
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| |
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Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For
Anyone Under 21 Years of Age
|
|
The Legend
|
|
ATS
– Against Spread
aft
- after
bfr
- before
BPR
- Ben’s Power Rating
B2B
– Back To Back
BOUNCE
– Opp. result
D
– Dog
Def
- defense
DDD
– Double Digit Dog
DDF
- Double Digit Favorite
DIV - Division
F – Favorite
L
- Loss
SAND - Sandwich game
|
H – Home
HD – Home Dog
HF – Home Favorite
HOME TEAM – In Capitals
LW – Last Week
LY
– Last Year
N-DIV
- Non Division
O/U
– Over /Under
OFF
– Offense
R
– Road
REV
– Revenge
SU
– Straight Up
V
- Versus
W
- Win
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